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I use statistics to identify one horse in each race that has greatest chance
of winning. I then whittle down these selections using other inputs.
The method pulls out between one and ten selections per day depending on
how many horses make the cut. I mainly bet Monday to Friday, but I will send
out Saturday selections if conditions look good.
This methods picks horses from odds on up to 50/1. These higher priced horses
can be trading as high as 55 or 60 on betfair. There are few selections during
the flat season. |
METHODS FOR FOLLOWING THE SELECTIONS
Its quite simple to follow the selections. As the system is a collection
of sub systems there may be specific price guidelines for some horses, but
this is about it.
Backing To Win Outright
This is by far the most profitable method because we take advantage of the
higher odds on offer via betfair. There isn't much difference with horses
trading around evens, but with horses trading at the higher end of the scale
it can make a dramatic difference to profits. My selections show a profit to
SP, but I seriously advise backing to win on betfair.
Backing Each Way
Profits can be made backing anything EW if it is over 5/1. Backing Each
Way allows us to make profits on bets that come 2nd, 3rd and 4th. However
when our advised bets do win, the each way return is less than what would
be achieved backing to win outright.
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REAL LIFE EXAMPLE
Below is an example of what I email to all members of my service.
NH Star Selections for today
Sept 22nd 2006
1. 2.15 Haydock: Mimisel
2. 2.45 Haydock: Longquan
3. 3.20 Haydock: Gap Princess
4. 3.35 Worcester: Orion Express
5. 4.10 Worcester: Theocritus
6. 4.30 Haydock: Brief Goodbye
7. 5.05 Haydock: Skidrow
Rules:
Remember don’t go below evens or over 14/1. This equates to roughly
2.04 and 22.50 on Betfair.
RESULTS
Longquan won at 6/4 and made 1.52 points profit on betfair after fees.
Brief Goodbye won at 10/1 and made 11.21 points profit on betfair after fees.
The day ended with a total of 6.5 points to SP and 7.73 points to Betfair
(inc 5% commission)
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REALISTIC PROFITS & EXPECTATIONS
Of course not every bet wins as that would be absolutely unrealistic. What
we do provide though is a consistent strike rate, and regular winners.
25% of the bets we advise win their race.
54.4% of the bets we advise win or place in their race.
All these stats are updated on our Performance pages and you can see all the
results in full.
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| All bets are supplied
via email. Bets are notified the morning of the race
and we look to give a 3 hr minimum notification period in order for you to
place your bets. With most bets you have at least 4-5 hours in order to get
your bets on.
Our recommendation is to join for at least a 6 month period, which has
the greatest chance of showing a profit.
Money back guarantees with 6 and 12 month payment options.
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